NC State
W-L: (34-21) PR = 96.3824Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 A Washington B10 (24-32, 93.9) 13- 0 214 H Indiana State MV ( 9-14, 92.3) 10- 4 218 A Merrimack MAAC ( 2- 7, 89.7) 7- 0 220 A Marist MAAC ( 3-11, 91.7) 6- 5 221 H Princeton IVY ( 3- 9, 89.6) 16- 1 221 H Princeton IVY ( 3- 9, 89.6) 0- 1 224 H Richmond A10 ( 8-10, 90.8) 27- 0 227 H Sacred Heart MAAC ( 2- 6, 87.3) 17- 4 228 H Sacred Heart MAAC ( 2- 6, 87.3) 15- 5 301 H Sacred Heart MAAC ( 2- 6, 87.3) 13- 0 303 A Presbyterian BSO ( 0-14, 89.9) 6- 3 304 A New Haven NE ( 0- 9, 86.9) 9- 4 306 A Evansville MV ( 5-14, 91.5) 6- 2 307 H Lafayette PAT ( 3- 9, 89.6) 10- 4 308 H Lafayette PAT ( 3- 9, 89.6) 14- 4 310 H Elon CA (22-27, 91.9) 0- 2 313 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 4- 2 314 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 5-12 315 H Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 5- 1 317 H UCF B12 (29-26, 96.0) 14- 8 320 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 6- 4 321 H Indiana B10 (22-31, 95.1) 5- 7 322 A Florida State ACC (36-22, 97.0) 5-15 324 H Campbell CA (40-17, 95.4) 2- 7 327 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 1- 3 328 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 4- 6 329 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 0-10 331 H Liberty CUSA (41-21, 96.1) 5- 7 402 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 7- 3 403 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 7- 3 404 H Notre Dame ACC (30-22, 95.9) 7- 6 407 H UNC Wilmington CA (29-28, 94.3) 7- 4 410 A Florida SEC (43-21, 98.3) 10- 8 411 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 18- 5 412 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 2- 3 414 A East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 10- 3 417 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 1-22 418 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 7-18 419 A Wake Forest ACC (36-23, 97.3) 6- 5 424 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 0- 4 425 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 14- 7 426 A Virginia Tech ACC (28-28, 95.3) 4- 5 428 H East Carolina AME (36-25, 96.7) 12- 2 501 H Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 13- 6 501 H Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 9-12 502 H Miami of Florida ACC (18-13, 95.6) 12- 7 508 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 5- 6 509 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 12- 7 510 A Stanford ACC (29-25, 94.6) 5- 9 514 A Stephen F. Austin SL ( 1- 7, 90.8) 4- 2 515 A Stephen F. Austin SL ( 1- 7, 90.8) 7- 6 516 H North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 7- 2 519 H Duke ACC (29-28, 94.5) 12-21 530 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 13-17 530 H Auburn SEC (45-20, 98.9) 13-17
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 A Washington 13- 0 13 2 +++ 11.17
214 H Indiana State 10- 4 6 5 1.25
218 A Merrimack 7- 0 7 6 0.95
220 A Marist 6- 5 1 4 - -3.03
221 H Princeton 16- 1 15 8 +++ 6.50
224 H Richmond 27- 0 27 6 +++ 7.77
227 H Sacred Heart 17- 4 13 10 + 3.23
228 H Sacred Heart 15- 5 10 10 0.23
301 H Sacred Heart 13- 0 13 10 + 3.23
303 A Presbyterian 6- 3 3 6 - -2.81
304 A New Haven 9- 4 5 9 - -3.86
306 A Evansville 6- 2 4 4 -0.22
307 H Lafayette 10- 4 6 7 -1.42
308 H Lafayette 14- 4 10 7 + 2.58
310 H Elon 0- 2 -2 5 --- -7.16
313 H Boston College 4- 2 2 1 0.80
314 H Boston College 5-12 -7 1 --- -8.20
315 H Boston College 5- 1 4 1 + 2.80
317 H UCF 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.94
320 A Florida State 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.28
321 H Indiana 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.00
322 A Florida State 5-15 -10 -1 --- -8.72
324 H Campbell 2- 7 -5 2 --- -6.70
327 A Georgia Tech 1- 3 -2 -4 + 2.19
328 A Georgia Tech 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.19
329 A Georgia Tech 0-10 -10 -4 -- -5.81
331 H Liberty 5- 7 -2 1 - -2.91
402 H Notre Dame 7- 3 4 1 + 2.84
403 H Notre Dame 7- 3 4 1 + 2.84
404 H Notre Dame 7- 6 1 1 -0.16
407 H UNC Wilmington 7- 4 3 3 0.26
410 A Florida 10- 8 2 -3 ++ 4.56
411 H Duke 18- 5 13 3 +++ 10.44
412 H Duke 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.56
414 A East Carolina 10- 3 7 -1 +++ 8.03
417 A Wake Forest 1-22 -21 -2 --- -12.44
418 A Wake Forest 7-18 -11 -2 --- -9.44
419 A Wake Forest 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.56
424 A Virginia Tech 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.41
425 A Virginia Tech 14- 7 7 0 +++ 6.59
426 A Virginia Tech 4- 5 -1 0 -1.41
428 H East Carolina 12- 2 10 0 +++ 9.68
501 H Miami of Florida 13- 6 7 1 ++ 5.59
501 H Miami of Florida 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.41
502 H Miami of Florida 12- 7 5 1 + 3.59
508 A Stanford 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.15
509 A Stanford 12- 7 5 1 + 3.85
510 A Stanford 5- 9 -4 1 -- -5.15
514 A Stephen F. Austin 4- 2 2 5 - -2.89
515 A Stephen F. Austin 7- 6 1 5 - -3.89
516 H North Carolina 7- 2 5 -2 +++ 6.74
519 H Duke 12-21 -9 3 --- -11.56
530 H Auburn 13-17 -4 -2 - -2.18
530 H Auburn 13-17 -4 -2 - -2.18
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 310 H Elon 0- 2 -2 5 --- -7.16 314 H Boston College 5-12 -7 1 --- -8.20 322 A Florida State 5-15 -10 -1 --- -8.72 324 H Campbell 2- 7 -5 2 --- -6.70 417 A Wake Forest 1-22 -21 -2 --- -12.44 418 A Wake Forest 7-18 -11 -2 --- -9.44 519 H Duke 12-21 -9 3 --- -11.56 321 H Indiana 5- 7 -2 2 -- -4.00 329 A Georgia Tech 0-10 -10 -4 -- -5.81 424 A Virginia Tech 0- 4 -4 0 -- -4.41 501 H Miami of Florida 9-12 -3 1 -- -4.41 510 A Stanford 5- 9 -4 1 -- -5.15 220 A Marist 6- 5 1 4 - -3.03 303 A Presbyterian 6- 3 3 6 - -2.81 304 A New Haven 9- 4 5 9 - -3.86 331 H Liberty 5- 7 -2 1 - -2.91 412 H Duke 2- 3 -1 3 - -3.56 508 A Stanford 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.15 514 A Stephen F. Austin 4- 2 2 5 - -2.89 515 A Stephen F. Austin 7- 6 1 5 - -3.89 530 H Auburn 13-17 -4 -2 - -2.18 530 H Auburn 13-17 -4 -2 - -2.18 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 213 A Washington 13- 0 13 2 +++ 11.17 221 H Princeton 16- 1 15 8 +++ 6.50 224 H Richmond 27- 0 27 6 +++ 7.77 411 H Duke 18- 5 13 3 +++ 10.44 414 A East Carolina 10- 3 7 -1 +++ 8.03 425 A Virginia Tech 14- 7 7 0 +++ 6.59 428 H East Carolina 12- 2 10 0 +++ 9.68 516 H North Carolina 7- 2 5 -2 +++ 6.74 317 H UCF 14- 8 6 1 ++ 4.94 410 A Florida 10- 8 2 -3 ++ 4.56 501 H Miami of Florida 13- 6 7 1 ++ 5.59 227 H Sacred Heart 17- 4 13 10 + 3.23 301 H Sacred Heart 13- 0 13 10 + 3.23 308 H Lafayette 14- 4 10 7 + 2.58 315 H Boston College 5- 1 4 1 + 2.80 320 A Florida State 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.28 327 A Georgia Tech 1- 3 -2 -4 + 2.19 328 A Georgia Tech 4- 6 -2 -4 + 2.19 402 H Notre Dame 7- 3 4 1 + 2.84 403 H Notre Dame 7- 3 4 1 + 2.84 419 A Wake Forest 6- 5 1 -2 + 2.56 502 H Miami of Florida 12- 7 5 1 + 3.59 509 A Stanford 12- 7 5 1 + 3.85 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Washington (24-32, 93.9) 13- 0 -6.03 12.40 0.68 0.53 13.75
3 H Indiana State ( 9-14, 92.3) 10- 4 -7.59 10.84 -0.68 0.53 10.69
3 A Merrimack ( 2- 7, 89.7) 7- 0 -10.24 8.19 0.68 0.53 9.32
3 A Marist ( 3-11, 91.7) 6- 5 -8.22 10.21 0.68 0.53 11.44
3 H Princeton ( 3- 9, 89.6) 16- 1 -10.34 8.08 -0.68 0.53 7.79
3 H Princeton ( 3- 9, 89.6) 0- 1 -10.34 8.08 -0.68 0.53 -2.90
3 H Richmond ( 8-10, 90.8) 27- 0 -9.07 9.35 -0.68 0.53 9.12
3 H Sacred Heart ( 2- 6, 87.3) 17- 4 -12.61 5.82 -0.68 0.53 5.41
3 H Sacred Heart ( 2- 6, 87.3) 15- 5 -12.61 5.82 -0.68 0.53 5.41
3 H Sacred Heart ( 2- 6, 87.3) 13- 0 -12.61 5.82 -0.68 0.53 5.41
3 A Presbyterian ( 0-14, 89.9) 6- 3 -10.00 8.42 0.68 0.53 9.57
3 A New Haven ( 0- 9, 86.9) 9- 4 -13.05 5.38 0.68 0.53 6.37
3 A Evansville ( 5-14, 91.5) 6- 2 -8.41 10.01 0.68 0.53 11.24
3 H Lafayette ( 3- 9, 89.6) 10- 4 -10.26 8.16 -0.68 0.53 7.88
3 H Lafayette ( 3- 9, 89.6) 14- 4 -10.26 8.16 -0.68 0.53 7.88
3 H Elon (22-27, 91.9) 0- 2 -8.00 10.43 -0.68 0.53 -2.28
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 4- 2 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.53 14.42
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 5-12 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.53 -1.24
3 H Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 5- 1 -4.04 14.39 -0.68 0.53 14.42
3 H UCF (29-26, 96.0) 14- 8 -3.91 14.52 -0.68 0.53 14.56
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 6- 4 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.53 17.02
3 H Indiana (22-31, 95.1) 5- 7 -4.84 13.58 -0.68 0.53 -1.45
3 A Florida State (36-22, 97.0) 5-15 -2.92 15.51 0.68 0.53 -0.59
3 H Campbell (40-17, 95.4) 2- 7 -4.54 13.89 -0.68 0.53 -1.37
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 1- 3 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.53 -0.18
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 4- 6 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.53 -0.18
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 0-10 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.53 -0.18
3 H Liberty (41-21, 96.1) 5- 7 -3.75 14.68 -0.68 0.53 -1.16
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 7- 3 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.53 14.45
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 7- 3 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.53 14.45
3 H Notre Dame (30-22, 95.9) 7- 6 -4.01 14.42 -0.68 0.53 14.45
3 H UNC Wilmington (29-28, 94.3) 7- 4 -5.59 12.84 -0.68 0.53 12.79
3 A Florida (43-21, 98.3) 10- 8 -1.63 16.79 0.68 0.53 18.37
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 18- 5 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.53 12.98
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 2- 3 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.53 -1.60
3 A East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 10- 3 -3.16 15.26 0.68 0.53 16.76
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 1-22 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.53 -0.51
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 7-18 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.53 -0.51
3 A Wake Forest (36-23, 97.3) 6- 5 -2.63 15.79 0.68 0.53 17.32
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 0- 4 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.53 -1.03
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 14- 7 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.53 15.25
3 A Virginia Tech (28-28, 95.3) 4- 5 -4.61 13.82 0.68 0.53 -1.03
3 H East Carolina (36-25, 96.7) 12- 2 -3.16 15.26 -0.68 0.53 15.34
3 H Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 13- 6 -4.25 14.17 -0.68 0.53 14.19
3 H Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 9-12 -4.25 14.17 -0.68 0.53 -1.30
3 H Miami of Flori (18-13, 95.6) 12- 7 -4.25 14.17 -0.68 0.53 14.19
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 5- 6 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.53 -1.23
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 12- 7 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.53 14.47
3 A Stanford (29-25, 94.6) 5- 9 -5.34 13.08 0.68 0.53 -1.23
3 A Stephen F. Aus ( 1- 7, 90.8) 4- 2 -9.08 9.34 0.68 0.53 10.54
3 A Stephen F. Aus ( 1- 7, 90.8) 7- 6 -9.08 9.34 0.68 0.53 10.54
3 H North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 7- 2 -1.10 17.32 -0.68 0.53 17.51
3 H Duke (29-28, 94.5) 12-21 -5.40 13.02 -0.68 0.53 -1.60
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 13-17 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.53 -0.45
3 H Auburn (45-20, 98.9) 13-17 -1.03 17.40 -0.68 0.53 -0.45
------
392.84
|
winning pts = 415.3037 losing points = -22.4610
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
------------------------------------------------------------------------
| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
------------------------------------------------------------------------